The latest CEF Construction Survey collected data from NI-headquartered firms which have a collective annual turnover in excess of £1bn.
Approximately 62% feel there will be reduced opportunities for NI public sector work in the year ahead, with 70% foreseeing a reduction in opportunities for NI commercial work.
Over a third (36%) of firms surveyed stated their main priority in the year ahead was to stabilise output and consolidate their business. While only 11% said their main priority was growth and expanding turnover and 17% stated their main aim was survival and staying in business by any means.
Other findings include:
• 68% felt that rising material costs/inflation could have a serious or critical impact on their ability to deliver on contracts/projects
• 94% expect construction materials costs to continue to rise over the next three months
• Over a third (38%) warned that materials shortages are having a critical or serious impact on their ability to deliver on contracts/projects
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• 68% said the use of alternative Government construction contract options which are more flexible in their design and approach would improve their willingness to bid for public sector work
• 68% expect an increase in demand for skilled labour in the next three months.
Commenting on the findings, Mark Spence, Managing Director of the Construction Employers Federation, said: "These results paint a stark picture of a sector that, whilst resilient in the face of many of the unprecedented headwinds of the last two years, is finding the never-ending inflationary pressures increasingly impossible to bear. With absolutely no sign of these pressures easing over the rest of 2022 and into 2023 we are seeing a significant draining of confidence within our membership as to their medium-term prospects – with an alarming number now talking openly about business survival as being their main focus.
"For those who engage in public sector works, the picture is further complicated by the lack of a functioning Northern Ireland Executive and the consequent impact on Government Departments being able to deliver their procurement pipelines in a timely manner. With many Government Clients telling us in recent weeks that they are operating on contingency budgets for the current financial year, we are now very much in the worst-case scenario for many when it comes to market conditions. A Northern Ireland Executive is not, of course, a panacea to many of the challenges that contractors are confronted with – but it can set a budget which unlocks a sustainable pipeline of work, and it can also, as our survey detailed, spearhead discussions around alternative forms of Government contracts which would be of benefit to all in the current crisis.
"When we also consider that housebuilders are facing not just the inflationary challenge but also the unavailability of wastewater connections in many parts of the country and a planning system that is in urgent need of major structural reform, it is clear that its prospects are also more uncertain than at any point since the 2007/08 financial crisis. Solutions to this are undoubtedly possible – but they require a fundamental shift in policy, performance and mindsets in order to unlock the new build housing which is an economic, societal and environmental imperative."
